Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
32.51% ( 0.09) | 26.78% ( 0.07) | 40.71% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.03% ( -0.26) | 53.97% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.22) | 75.42% ( 0.22) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( -0.07) | 30.99% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.71% ( -0.08) | 67.29% ( 0.08) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.93% ( -0.2) | 26.07% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.88% ( -0.27) | 61.12% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.51% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |