La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Sevilla
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Torres (4')
Isco (38'), Telles (39'), Angel Carmona (58'), Acuna (72'), Sampaoli (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vesga (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-4 Dortmund
Wednesday, October 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Almeria
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sevilla 1-3 Athletic Bilbao

A difficult game to predict, given the elements of underperformance in a talented Sevilla side, but we are siding with the form books here, and forecasting a fifth-straight home defeat for the Andalusian side. One of the hottest attacks in the division against one of the shakiest defences, we think Valverde's men should be able to outgun their struggling hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
32.51% ( 0.09)	26.78% ( 0.07)	40.71% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 51.02% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.03% (

-0.26)

53.97% (

0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.58% (

-0.22)

75.42% (

0.22)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.01% (

-0.07)

30.99% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

-0.08)

67.29% (

0.08)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.93% (

-0.2)

26.07% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88% (

-0.27)

61.12% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 32.51%

Athletic Bilbao 40.71%

Draw 26.78%

Sevilla	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.51%	1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.71%