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La Liga
Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
0 - 2
Atletico


Isco (11'), Delaney (31'), Gudelj (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
Witsel (38'), Felix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

 Two sides with plenty to prove, and with defensive deficiencies to boot, we can see an exciting game here, with plenty of opportunities at both sides. We fancy Atletico Madrid to get the job done, however, with their superior attacking talent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
33.63% (0.255 0.26) 27.43% (0.096999999999998 0.1) 38.94% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (-0.334 -0.33)56.29% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (-0.268 -0.27)77.32% (0.27 0.27)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21%67.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)28.13% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.457 -0.46)63.81% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 33.62%
    Atletico Madrid 38.93%
    Draw 27.43%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.93%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
20.2%
Draw
24.8%
Atletico Madrid
55.0%
129
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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