Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
33.63% ( 0.26) | 27.43% ( 0.1) | 38.94% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 49.29% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.71% ( -0.33) | 56.29% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.68% ( -0.27) | 77.32% ( 0.27) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% ( 0) | 31.41% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.21% | 67.78% ( -0) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.86% ( -0.36) | 28.13% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.18% ( -0.46) | 63.81% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.62% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
7 | Osasuna | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 11 |
8 | AlavesAlaves | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 10 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | GironaGirona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
13 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
14 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
15 | Leganes | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 6 |
16 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
19 | Getafe | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |