Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 13, 2022 at 8pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Atletico

Andrich (84'), Diaby (87')
Odilon (32'), Tah (39'), Andrich (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City, Chelsea 'scout Moussa Diaby'

Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur, Manchester City and Chelsea reportedly watched Moussa Diaby in Bayer Leverkusen's recent Champions League clash with Atletico Madrid.

Sep 18, 12:58

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Wolfsburg	6	-5	5
17	Bayer Leverkusen	6	-3	4
18	VfL Bochum	6	-14	0

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Atletico 4-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Athletic Bilbao	5	7	10
7	Atletico Madrid	5	5	10
8	Girona	5	1	7

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Leverkusen are more than capable of making this a difficult match for Atletico, and it would certainly not be a surprise to see a home victory or a draw. Atletico are in good form at the moment, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Atletico Madrid
24.44% ( -0.05)	22.95% ( -0)	52.6% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.9% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.6% (

-0.03)

42.4% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.2% (

-0.03)

64.8% (

0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

-0.06)

30.95% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

-0.07)

67.24% (

0.07)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.85% (

0.01)

16.14% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.41% (

0.01)

45.59% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 24.44%

Atletico Madrid 52.6%

Draw 22.95%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 24.44%	1-1 @ 10.68% 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.95%	1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.43% Total : 52.6%