La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico4 - 1Celta Vigo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Porto
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Cadiz
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Celta Vigo
Celta will be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, and the visitors are certainly capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday. It is hard to back against Atletico in front of their own supporters, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to collect all three points with a narrow win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
54.57% ( -0.53) | 25.21% ( -0.25) | 20.23% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 45.64% ( 1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
