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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Celta Vigo logo

Atletico
4 - 1
Celta Vigo

Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Hermoso (16'), Koke (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Veiga (71')
Nunez (21'), Aspas (90+4'), Veiga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Porto
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Celta Vigo

Last Six:
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Cadiz
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Celta Vigo

 Celta will be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, and the visitors are certainly capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday. It is hard to back against Atletico in front of their own supporters, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to collect all three points with a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
54.57% (-0.534 -0.53) 25.21% (-0.249 -0.25) 20.23% (0.783 0.78)
Both teams to score 45.64% (1.757 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (1.726 1.73)56% (-1.727 -1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (1.383 1.38)77.09% (-1.383 -1.38)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.473 0.47)20.53% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.74700000000001 0.75)53.03% (-0.748 -0.75)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43% (1.881 1.88)42.57% (-1.881 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07% (1.564 1.56)78.93% (-1.565 -1.57)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 54.55%
    Celta Vigo 20.23%
    Draw 25.2%
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 13.83% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-0 @ 10.95% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.144 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.165 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.55%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.598 -0.6)
2-2 @ 4% (0.259 0.26)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.23%

How you voted: Atletico vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid
76.2%
Draw
16.7%
Celta Vigo
7.1%
126
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Celta Vigo
Suarez (45', 50')
Felipe (23'), Gimenez (67')
Mina (13'), Ferreyra (89')
Tapia (5'), Suarez (78')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Celta Vigo
0-2
Atletico

Beltran (41'), Nolito (63'), Aspas (83')
Suarez (6'), Carrasco (90+5')
Hermoso (17'), Costa (37'), Felipe (71'), Herrera (86')
Jul 7, 2020 9pm
Celta Vigo
1-1
Atletico
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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