MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:50:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Coface Arena
Leverkusen logo

Mainz 05
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen


Burgzorg (70')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Palacios (29'), Frimpong (39', 41')
Hincapie (3'), Andrich (45'), Frimpong (60'), Bakker (76')
Hincapie (77'), Bakker (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Mainz 05 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen

The visitors might be a team that a lot of fans have high expectations of this season, but so far it has been a tough campaign for Bayer Leverkusen, and they head into this one with low confidence. That is the opposite for Mainz, particularly when it comes to games at home, which is why they will walk into this one as the firm favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
36.34% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 25.66% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02) 37.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.38% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (0.088999999999999 0.09)48.7% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (0.079999999999998 0.08)70.81% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (0.031999999999996 0.03)26.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92% (0.044000000000004 0.04)61.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.060000000000002 0.06)25.12% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.084999999999994 0.08)59.82% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 36.34%
    Bayer Leverkusen 37.99%
    Draw 25.66%
Mainz 05DrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 36.34%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.6% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 37.99%

How you voted: Mainz 05 vs B. Leverkusen

Mainz 05
68.3%
Draw
14.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
17.5%
63
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 7.30pm
Mainz 05
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Caricol (57'), Boetius (84'), Ingvartsen (88')
Caricol (66'), Ingvartsen (90+5')
Schick (35'), Alario (74')
Adli (31'), Demirbay (56')
Sep 25, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz 05
Wirtz (62')
Tah (11'), Diaby (44'), Bakker (83'), Alario (90+3')

Lucoqui (44'), Stach (69'), Jae-sung (86')
Feb 13, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Mainz 05
Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!