MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:46:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Mainz logo

Augsburg
1 - 2
Mainz 05

Demirovic (35')
Gouweleeuw (3'), Rexhbecaj (29')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Onisiwo (31'), Jae-sung (90+3')
Bell (29'), Burkardt (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

With both teams adopting similar formations, we can envisage a low-scoring, tight encounter in Augsburg on Saturday. The visitors were involved in a goalless draw last time out and may be content to remain unbeaten, with Augsburg unlikely to push too hard for a winner either. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
32.5% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 26.59% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 40.91% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.61% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (-0.364 -0.36)53.22% (0.366 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (-0.309 -0.31)74.78% (0.31 0.31)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)30.62% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.15% (-0.189 -0.19)66.85% (0.18899999999999 0.19)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (-0.232 -0.23)25.62% (0.233 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48% (-0.318 -0.32)60.51% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 32.5%
    Mainz 05 40.9%
    Draw 26.59%
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.5%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.68% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 40.9%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Mainz 05

Augsburg
42.4%
Draw
36.4%
Mainz 05
21.2%
33
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 5.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz 05
Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')
Oct 22, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-1
Augsburg
Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')
Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')
Feb 28, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
3-1
Mainz 05
Vargas (40'), Hahn (80', 90+1')
Vargas (49'), Strobl (58'), Iago (66'), Sarenren-Bazee (85'), Hahn (90+2')
Onisiwo (64')
St Juste (84')
Jun 14, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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