Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 4
FC Koln

Niederlechner (73')
Gruezo (42'), Oxford (69')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Thielmann (12'), Uth (15'), Modeste (63' pen., 77')
Thielmann (53'), Kainz (60'), Hubers (75'), Kilian (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: BW Lohne vs. Augsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42
14	Augsburg	34	-17	38
15	Stuttgart	34	-18	33

FC Koln

Last Six:

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Jahn vs. FC Koln
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46

Spirits are high among the two camps heading into Saturday's fixture and both teams will be confident of securing maximum points. Although Augsburg may have the psychological advantage with their impressive head-to-head record against Koln, we can see the visitors claiming a slender victory to boost their hopes of a top-six finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 44.93%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	FC Koln
30.57%	24.51%	44.93%

Both teams to score 57.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.99%

45.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.64%

67.36%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.2%

27.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.61%

63.39%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.85%

20.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.58%

52.42%

Score Analysis

Augsburg 30.57%

FC Koln 44.93%

Draw 24.5%

Augsburg	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 7.35% 1-0 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.51% 3-0 @ 1.96% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.84% Total : 30.57%	1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.5%	1-2 @ 9.2% 0-1 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.15% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.9% Total : 44.93%