MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 13:54:21| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Apr 6, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Mainz logo

Augsburg
2 - 1
Mainz 05

Gouweleeuw (11' pen.), Vargas (56')
Gruezo (75'), Gouweleeuw (76'), Gumny (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Widmer (54')
Bell (15'), Widmer (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: BW Lohne vs. Augsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Augsburg 2-2 Mainz 05

Both sides will be looking to claim maximum points on Wednesday, with Mainz having an outside chance of qualifying for Europe, while Augsburg will be keen to move further away from the relegation zone. Each of the last 12 Bundesliga meetings between these two sides has seen a victory for one team or the other, but as there is little separate them this time around, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
36.48%25.29%38.23%
Both teams to score 56.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53%47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75%69.24%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.89%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44%58.56%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 36.48%
    Mainz 05 38.23%
    Draw 25.28%
AugsburgDrawMainz 05
1-0 @ 8.41%
2-1 @ 8.23%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.78%
3-2 @ 2.68%
3-0 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 0.93%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 36.48%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 6.1%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-2 @ 6.13%
1-3 @ 4%
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.76%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.03%
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.23%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Mainz 05

Augsburg
51.3%
Draw
26.6%
Mainz 05
22.1%
154
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2021 7.30pm
Mainz 05
4-1
Augsburg
Onisiwo (10'), Bell (15'), Burkardt (26', 71')
Caricol (70')
Zeqiri (69')
Oxford (8'), Gouweleeuw (63'), Vargas (67')
Feb 28, 2021 2.30pm
Oct 31, 2020 2.30pm
Augsburg
3-1
Mainz 05
Vargas (40'), Hahn (80', 90+1')
Vargas (49'), Strobl (58'), Iago (66'), Sarenren-Bazee (85'), Hahn (90+2')
Onisiwo (64')
St Juste (84')
Jun 14, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 7, 2019 2.30pm
Augsburg
2-1
Mainz 05
Richter (41'), Niederlechner (65' pen.)
Vargas (28'), Jedvaj (88')
Oztunali (15')
Fernandes (44'), Quaison (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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