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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Freiburg logo

Augsburg
1 - 2
Freiburg

Gregoritsch (16')
Hahn (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Augsburg 1-1 Freiburg

A fairly common result for both of these sides this season has been a 1-1 draw, so that is what we are predicting for it to finish on Saturday. Freiburg could well nick it, but it is unlikely to be an open and high scoring encounter between two sides relatively quiet on the goals front at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Freiburg in this match.

Result
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
32.67%24.84%42.48%
Both teams to score 57.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32%45.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99%68.01%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.22%26.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.93%62.07%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47%21.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41%54.59%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 32.67%
    Freiburg 42.49%
    Draw 24.84%
AugsburgDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 7.68%
1-0 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.59%
3-0 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 5.9%
0-0 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.84%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-1 @ 8.86%
0-2 @ 6.8%
1-3 @ 4.59%
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.49%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Freiburg

Augsburg
34.3%
Draw
34.3%
Freiburg
31.4%
35
Head to Head
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')

Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')
Nov 28, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Augsburg
1-1
Freiburg
Vargas (80')
Caligiuri (20'), Gumny (24'), Uduokhai (67')
Grifo (64')
Demirovic (7')
Feb 15, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Augsburg
1-1
Freiburg
Max (38')
Baier (50'), Richter (55'), Gouweleeuw (80'), Khedira (88')
Haberer (51')
Abrashi (59')
Sep 21, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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