Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Gregoritsch (16'), Hahn (59')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Khedira (42'), Voglsammer (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Augsburg 0-1 Union Berlin

The loss of Kruse is certainly a blow to Union, but they should retain a strong self-belief after their upward trajectory in recent seasons. Therefore, we are backing them to earn a win against a home side struggling for results in 2022, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
32.14%	25.53%	42.33%

Both teams to score 54.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.1%

48.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29%

70.99%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29%

28.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47%

64.53%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02%

22.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23%

56.77%

Score Analysis

Augsburg 32.14%

Union Berlin 42.33%

Draw 25.52%

Augsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 8.23% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.14%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.6% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52%	0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 7.13% 1-3 @ 4.36% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.13% Total : 42.33%