Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 18

Jan 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Union Berlin

Schick (38'), Tah (84')
Tah (59')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Promel (45', 50')
Trimmel (31'), Friedrich (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Union Berlin

With Leverkusen possessing home advantage, as well as Union missing their top goalscorer, we are predicting a comfortable win for the hosts on Saturday. Union are always difficult to beat but remain a different side away from home, so if Leverkusen can recapture their best form from earlier in the campaign, they will prove too much for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.14%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union Berlin
55.14%	22.12%	22.73%

Both teams to score 58.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.57%

40.43%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.19%

62.8%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.4%

14.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.31%

42.68%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.69%

31.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.33%

67.66%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 55.15%

Union Berlin 22.73%

Draw 22.12%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union Berlin
2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 5.43% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.03% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.15%	1-1 @ 10.21% 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.12%	1-2 @ 5.93% 0-1 @ 5.31% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 2.21% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.72% Total : 22.73%