Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
