Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 15, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
1 - 1
Union Berlin

Wirtz (27')
Amiri (6'), Tapsoba (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pohjanpalo (72')
Ingvartsen (40'), Andrich (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union Berlin
65.21%	19.85%	14.94%

Both teams to score 51.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.5%

42.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.1%

64.9%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.75%

12.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.04%

37.96%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.02%

40.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.46%

77.53%

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 65.2%

Union Berlin 14.94%

Draw 19.85%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 11.06% 1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.75% 3-1 @ 6.91% 4-0 @ 4.07% 4-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.08% 5-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.45% Total : 65.2%	1-1 @ 9.4% 0-0 @ 5.02% 2-2 @ 4.4% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.85%	0-1 @ 4.48% 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.31% 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.94%