Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.