Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.