Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.