Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 11, 2021 at 5pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
2 - 3
Mainz 05

Duda (43' pen.), Skhiri (61')
Duda (22'), Katterbach (34')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Boetius (11'), Onisiwo (65'), Barreiro (90+1')
Mwene (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Mainz 05
30.1%	26.52%	43.39%

Both teams to score 50.89%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.3%

53.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82%

75.19%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.47%

32.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.93%

69.07%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.44%

24.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.95%

59.05%

Score Analysis

FC Koln 30.1%

Mainz 05 43.39%

Draw 26.51%

FC Koln	Draw	Mainz 05
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 5.04% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.1%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 11.22% 1-2 @ 8.84% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 4.14% 0-3 @ 3.69% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 1.45% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.55% Total : 43.39%