Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 28, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
0 - 1
Augsburg

Latza (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hahn (25')
Framberger (45'), Strobl (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
44.54%	27.03%	28.42%

Both teams to score 48.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.6%

56.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.59%

77.41%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81%

25.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.08%

59.92%

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77%

35.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02%

71.97%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 44.54%

Augsburg 28.42%

Draw 27.03%

Mainz 05	Draw	Augsburg
1-0 @ 12.23% 2-1 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.54%	1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.03%	0-1 @ 9.26% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.83% 1-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.42%