Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 6, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
1 - 0
Union Berlin

Niakhate (22' pen.)
Kohr (28'), Barreiro (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schlotterbeck (21'), Teuchert (33'), Knoche (60'), Trimmel (67')
Schlotterbeck (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Union Berlin
31.15%	26.52%	42.33%

Both teams to score 51.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66%

53.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12%

74.88%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4%

31.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99%

68.01%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06%

24.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43%

59.57%

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 31.15%

Union Berlin 42.33%

Draw 26.52%

Mainz 05	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 7.26% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.15%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.04% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 10.94% 1-2 @ 8.76% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 4.05% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.33%