Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 51.3%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.