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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
51.51% | 21.67% | 26.82% |
Both teams to score 65.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.95% | 34.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.07% | 55.93% |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.45% | 13.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.36% | 40.64% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.27% | 24.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.72% | 59.29% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.35% 1-0 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 6.69% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 4.35% 4-1 @ 3.11% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 2.18% 5-1 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.95% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 3.35% 3-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.54% 0-1 @ 4.68% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 3.04% 0-3 @ 1.52% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.59% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
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