National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park
St Albans City1 - 1Hornchurch
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Farnborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
41
Last Game: Hornchurch 2-3 Slough
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
47
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
40.11% ( 0.04) | 27.03% ( 0.08) | 32.85% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 50.34% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.12% ( -0.31) | 54.88% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.82% ( -0.26) | 76.17% ( 0.26) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( -0.12) | 26.81% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.89% ( -0.16) | 62.1% ( 0.16) |
| AFC Hornchurch Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.24) | 31.22% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.44% ( -0.28) | 67.56% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
St Albans City 40.11%
AFC Hornchurch 32.85%
Draw 27.03%
| St Albans City | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.85% |
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
Form Guide
