MX23RW : Thursday, September 12 07:04:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hornchurch Stadium

Hornchurch
1 - 0
St Albans City

Akinwande (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Castiglione (66'), Deadfield (83')
Coverage of the National League South clash between AFC Hornchurch and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Hornchurch

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: Hornchurch 0-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South

St Albans City

All competitions
National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-2 Worthing
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
AFC HornchurchDrawSt Albans City
33.79% (-0.13 -0.13) 24.37% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 41.83% (0.14100000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 59.47% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.78% (0.024000000000001 0.02)43.21% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.39% (0.022000000000006 0.02)65.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
AFC Hornchurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.07% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)24.92% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.44% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)59.55% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.22% (0.075000000000003 0.08)20.78% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.57% (0.118 0.12)53.43% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    AFC Hornchurch 33.79%
    St Albans City 41.83%
    Draw 24.37%
AFC HornchurchDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 33.79%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.18% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 41.83%

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