Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 12, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena de Baixada
Athletico PR2 - 1Vasco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
29
We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Vasco da Gama (Vasco da Gama advance 3-2 on aggregate)
Despite facing their share of adversity over the past couple of months, Vasco have shown plenty of resilience, which we believe will carry them through this tie. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
50.45% ( 0.01) | 25.06% ( -0) | 24.49% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
