Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, April 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 0-4 Criciuma
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
60.08% ( -1.15) | 21.47% ( 0.54) | 18.45% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.66% ( -1.47) | 43.34% ( 1.46) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.26% ( -1.46) | 65.73% ( 1.46) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( -0.81) | 14.01% ( 0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.45% ( -1.63) | 41.55% ( 1.62) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.82% ( -0.2) | 37.17% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.04% ( -0.19) | 73.96% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense 60.07%
Vasco da Gama 18.45%
Draw 21.46%
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.94% Total : 60.07% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.46% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.45% |
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2023 10.30pm
Dec 27, 2020 9.15pm
Sep 6, 2020 10pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-07 08:45:24
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 67 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 61 |
3 | FortalezaFortaleza | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 60 |
4 | FlamengoFlamengo | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 58 |
5 | InternacionalInternacional | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 56 |
6 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 54 |
7 | Bahia | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 46 |
8 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 44 |
9 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 43 |
10 | Atletico Mineiro | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 41 |
11 | Gremio | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 39 |
12 | Vitoria | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 |
13 | Corinthians | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 38 |
14 | Fluminense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 37 |
15 | CriciumaCriciuma | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 37 |
16 | BragantinoBragantino | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 35 |
17 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 34 |
18 | JuventudeJuventude | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 34 |
19 | Cuiaba | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 28 |
20 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 25 |
> Brasileiro Full Table |
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