Brasileiro | Gameweek 37

Dec 3, 2023 at 9.30pm UK

Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
3 - 0
Santos

Bueno (45+6'), Madson (75'), Willian (90+3')
Fernandinho (56'), Heleno (60'), Erick (65'), Santana (82'), Caca (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rincon (42'), Joaquim (44'), Fernandez (83'), Morelos (90+10')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Santos.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, November 30 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Santos

All competitions

Last Game: Santos 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, November 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Santos had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Santos
59.23% ( -0.07)	22.98% ( 0.11)	17.78% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 48% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.25% (

-0.52)

50.75% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.36% (

-0.46)

72.64% (

0.46)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

-0.21)

16.8% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.23% (

-0.37)

46.77% (

0.37)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.69% (

-0.36)

42.31% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.3% (

-0.31)

78.7% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 59.21%

Santos 17.78%

Draw 22.98%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Santos
1-0 @ 12.67% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.72% 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 59.21%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.98%	0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.78%