We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Bragantino
Having picked up two impressive victories in the last week, Athletico Paranaense will head into Wednesday's tie with confidence as they look to keep the ball rolling. Bragantino's recent results in this fixture should give them plenty of optimism, but we see the hosts coming out on top in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.