Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 85.11%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Sousa had a probability of 3.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.13%) and 1-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Sousa win it was 0-1 (1.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bragantino in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bragantino.
1.48) 
-0.79) 
