MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 06:10:11| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Bahia

Athletico PR
1 - 3
Bahia

Di Yorio (61')
Fernandinho (36'), Heleno (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Stum (9'), Teixeira (15'), Luciano (78')
Stum (40'), Victor (79'), Fernandes (79'), Rezende (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-0 Bahia

 Athletico Paranaense boast the second-best defensive record in the division and will be confident of keeping Bahia at bay here. We can see the home team emerging triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
60.04% (1.307 1.31) 21.66% (-0.691 -0.69) 18.31% (-0.616 -0.62)
Both teams to score 53.11% (1.126 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (2.057 2.06)44.41% (-2.055 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (1.965 1.97)66.79% (-1.963 -1.96)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (1.111 1.11)14.38% (-1.109 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.74% (2.113 2.11)42.26% (-2.112 -2.11)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (0.519 0.52)37.97% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (0.501 0.5)74.74% (-0.5 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 60.02%
    Bahia 18.31%
    Draw 21.66%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.273 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.247 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.139 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.502 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.405 -0.41)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.31%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bahia

Athletico Paranaense
70.2%
Draw
19.1%
Bahia
10.6%
47
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 34
Bahia
1-1
Athletico PR
Stum (73' pen.)
Duarte (65'), Stum (77'), Kanu (80')
Canobbio (87')
Moura (29'), Caca (46'), Canobbio (71'), Fernandinho (73')
Jul 16, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 15
Athletico PR
2-0
Bahia
Roque (24'), Erick (35')
Ivaldo (66'), Heleno (84')

Stum (63')
> Preview
Jul 13, 2022 12.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
2-1
Bahia
Erick (78'), Cardoso (90+4')
Davo (5')
Xavier (53')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2022 11.30pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bahia
1-2
Athletico PR
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 25
Athletico PR
0-2
Bahia

Nikao (77')
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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