MX23RW : Wednesday, June 26 07:55:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 16, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Bahia

Athletico PR
2 - 0
Bahia

Roque (24'), Erick (35')
Ivaldo (66'), Heleno (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stum (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 0-2 Flamengo
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Bahia (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, July 13 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-0 Bahia

 Athletico are expected to return to winning ways on their turf, defeating a Bahia side that seldom scores on their travels with a routine win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 57.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
57.93% (-2.9 -2.9) 24.21% (0.895 0.9) 17.86% (2.001 2)
Both teams to score 44.68% (1.292 1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73% (-0.363 -0.36)55.27% (0.358 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.3 -0.3)76.49% (0.295 0.3)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.07% (-1.204 -1.2)18.93% (1.199 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.56% (-2.04 -2.04)50.44% (2.035 2.04)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.11% (2.373 2.37)44.88% (-2.378 -2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.15% (1.835 1.84)80.84% (-1.841 -1.84)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 57.92%
    Bahia 17.86%
    Draw 24.2%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 14.14% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.77 -0.77)
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.53% (-0.7 -0.7)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.41 -0.41)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.064 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.178 -0.18)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 57.92%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.46 0.46)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.254 0.25)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.526 0.53)
1-2 @ 4.54% (0.466 0.47)
0-2 @ 2.73% (0.372 0.37)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.195 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.01% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 17.86%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bahia

Athletico Paranaense
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bahia
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2022 12.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
2-1
Bahia
Erick (78'), Cardoso (90+4')
Davo (5')
Xavier (53')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2022 11.30pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bahia
1-2
Athletico PR
> Preview
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 25
Athletico PR
0-2
Bahia

Nikao (77')
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 6
Bahia
2-1
Athletico PR
De Lucca (17'), Rossi (70')
Anderson (26'), da Cruz (90+1')
Terans (40')
Erick (82')
Richard (13'), Marcinho (87')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 31
Bahia
1-0
Athletico PR
Andrade (65')
Ramon (9'), Pablo Ramirez (79')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
> Preview
 
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
> Preview
 
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
> Preview
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
2nd Group E
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111
> European Championship 2024 overview


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