MX23RW : Tuesday, June 25 05:29:53| >> :60:166:166:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 13, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Bahia

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Bahia

Erick (78'), Cardoso (90+4')
Pablo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Davo (5')
Xavier (53'), Jacare (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Goias 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Bahia

Last Six:
    Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Athletico PR
    Wednesday, June 22 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

    We said: Athletico Paranaense 3-0 Bahia

     Bahia put forth a valiant effort in the opening leg, but it is hard to envision them coming into enemy territory and reversing their fortunes against a team who excel in virtually every category, with plenty of experience in elimination games. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

    The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

    Result
    Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
    44.78% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 26.86% (0.064 0.06) 28.36% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
    Both teams to score 48.93% (-0.167 -0.17)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    44.22% (-0.221 -0.22)55.77% (0.222 0.22)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    23.09% (-0.182 -0.18)76.91% (0.182 0.18)
    Athletico Paranaense Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    75.2% (-0.14699999999999 -0.15)24.8% (0.147 0.15)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    40.62% (-0.203 -0.2)59.37% (0.204 0.2)
    Bahia Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    65.06% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)34.94% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    28.32% (-0.099 -0.1)71.68% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
    Score Analysis
        Athletico Paranaense 44.78%
        Bahia 28.36%
        Draw 26.85%
    Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
    1-0 @ 12.08% (0.06 0.06)
    2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
    2-0 @ 8.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
    3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
    3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
    3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
    4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
    4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
    Other @ 2.42%
    Total : 44.78%
    		1-1 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
    0-0 @ 8.66% (0.074 0.07)
    2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.83%
    Total : 26.85%
    		0-1 @ 9.11% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
    1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
    0-2 @ 4.79% (0.017 0.02)
    1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
    0-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
    2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
    Other @ 2.13%
    Total : 28.36%

    How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bahia

    Athletico Paranaense
    90.0%
    Draw
    0.0%
    Bahia
    10.0%
    10
    Head to Head
    Jun 22, 2022 11.30pm
    Bahia
    1-2
    Athletico PR
    Oct 9, 2021 11pm
    Athletico PR
    0-2
    Bahia

    Nikao (77')
    Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
    Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
    Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
    Bahia
    2-1
    Athletico PR
    De Lucca (17'), Rossi (70')
    Anderson (26'), da Cruz (90+1')
    Terans (40')
    Erick (82')
    Richard (13'), Marcinho (87')
    Jan 20, 2021 9pm
    Bahia
    1-0
    Athletico PR
    Andrade (65')
    Ramon (9'), Pablo Ramirez (79')
    Sep 26, 2020 11pm
    Athletico PR
    1-0
    Bahia
    Christian (70')
    Erick (26'), Moreira (53'), Heleno (57'), Alvarado Hoyos (89')

    Saldanha (40')
    rhs 2.0
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    Tables header RHS

    Group A

    TeamPWDLPTS
    Q Germany Germany32107
    Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
    3 Hungary Hungary31023
    4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

    Group B

    TeamPWDLPTS
    Q Spain Spain33009
    Q Italy Italy31114
    3 Croatia Croatia30212
    4 Albania national flag Albania30121

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    TeamPWDLPTS
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    2 Denmark Denmark20202
    3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
    4 Serbia Serbia20111

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    TeamPWDLPTS
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    2 France France21104
    3 Austria Austria21013
    4 Poland Poland20020

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    TeamPWDLPTS
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    2 Belgium Belgium21013
    3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
    4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

    Group F

    TeamPWDLPTS
    Q Portugal Portugal22006
    2 Turkey Turkey21013
    3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
    4 Georgia Georgia20111
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