Brasileiro | Gameweek 32
Dec 2, 2021 at 9pm UK
Estadio de Pituacu
Bahia2 - 3Atletico Mineiro
We said: Bahia 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
With the title now within reach, Atletico do not look like they will be denied no matter how well or poorly they play in this encounter. Bahia have been impressive at home, so they could cause Galo some problems early on, but there is just too much quality and depth with Atletico as opposed to Bahia, who have Gilberto but no one else who can consistently be a threat, which should make the defensive assignment for the league leaders reasonably simple. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.95%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Bahia | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
29.56% | 27.48% | 42.95% |
Both teams to score 47.77% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.43% | 57.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.65% | 78.35% |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.03% | 34.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.28% | 71.71% |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% | 26.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.25% | 61.74% |
Score Analysis |
Bahia 29.56%
Atletico Mineiro 42.95%
Draw 27.48%
Bahia | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 5.12% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.14% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 12.31% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 8.17% 1-3 @ 3.79% 0-3 @ 3.61% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.04% Total : 42.95% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro
Bahia
29.7%Draw
13.5%Atletico Mineiro
56.8%37
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 10pm
Oct 20, 2020 12am
Gameweek 17
Bahia
3-1
Atletico Mineiro
Nov 28, 2019 12am
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-21 18:02:43
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Botafogo | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 69 |
2 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 56 | 28 | 28 | 67 |
3 | FortalezaFortaleza | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 63 |
4 | FlamengoFlamengo | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 62 |
5 | InternacionalInternacional | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 28 | 18 | 59 |
6 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 58 |
7 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 47 |
8 | Bahia | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 46 |
9 | Corinthians | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 44 |
10 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 43 |
11 | Atletico Mineiro | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Vitoria | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 41 |
13 | Gremio | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 40 |
14 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
15 | JuventudeJuventude | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
16 | Fluminense | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 37 |
17 | CriciumaCriciuma | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
18 | BragantinoBragantino | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 37 |
19 | Cuiaba | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 29 |
20 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24 | 52 | -28 | 26 |
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