Athletico score at a rate of one goal per game when away from home in Serie A, while Goias find the net at a similar rate on home soil. While the hosts lack the firepower to upset their visitors by ending an impressive unbeaten run, they can grind out a draw thanks to a decent defensive record at Estadio da Serrinha. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Goias win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Goias win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Goias would win this match.

Result
Goias	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
40.16% ( -0.01)	28.55% ( 0)	31.29% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.49% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.23% (

-0)

60.77% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.18% (

-0)

80.82% (

0.01)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.4% (

-0.01)

29.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.01)

65.64% (

0.01)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.62% (

35.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.86% (

72.14%

Score Analysis

Goias 40.16%

Athletico Paranaense 31.29%

Draw 28.54%

Goias	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.7% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.51% Total : 40.16%	1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.54%	0-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.08% Total : 31.29%