Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Jun 29, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Libertad

(Athletico Paranaense win 3-2 on aggregate)

Roque (6'), Hernandez (32')
Christian (26')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Villalba (20')
Barboza (72'), Campuzano (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Club Libertad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Six:

Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings

PTS

Top scorers

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Club Libertad

Having met in the group stages, Athletico Paranaense and Club Libertad are familiar foes in this year's Copa Libertadores and this makes for a thrilling watch. We are backing the hosts to make use of their home advantage and see off the Paraguayans, who have struggled to find their feet on the road so far. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 52.96%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Club Libertad had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Club Libertad win it was 0-1 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Club Libertad
52.96% ( -0.6)	25.46% ( 0.16)	21.57% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 46.69% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.45% (

-0.13)

55.55% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.28% (

-0.11)

76.72% (

0.1)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

-0.3)

21% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.22% (

-0.47)

53.78% (

0.47)

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.11% (

0.39)

40.89% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.54% (

0.34)

77.46% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 52.95%

Club Libertad 21.57%

Draw 25.46%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 13.4% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.95%	1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.57%