Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 13, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Libertad
2 - 1
Caracas

Cardozo (3'), Melgarejo (34')
Merlini (30')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bonsu Osei (20')
Quijada (29'), Bonsu Osei (41'), Fereira (45+3'), Castillo (74')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Club Libertad and Caracas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Libertad

Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Athletico PR vs. Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Caracas

Last Game: Athletico PR 5-1 Caracas
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Club Libertad in this match.

Result
Club Libertad	Draw	Caracas
43.99%	23.96%	32.05%

Both teams to score 60.32%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.17%

41.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.77%

64.22%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.75%

19.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.03%

50.97%

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93%

60.07%

Score Analysis

Club Libertad 43.99%

Caracas 32.05%

Draw 23.95%

Club Libertad	Draw	Caracas
2-1 @ 9.09% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 4.99% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.99%	1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 7.58% 0-1 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.6% 1-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.05%