MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 15:19:14| >> :60:177:177:
Bahia
Copa do Brasil | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jun 22, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Athletico Paranaense

Bahia
1 - 2
Athletico PR

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa do Brasil clash between Bahia and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

Last Six:
    Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Bahia
    Friday, December 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

    Athletico Paranaense

    Last Six:
    Last Game: Coritiba 0-1 Athletico PR
    Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Brasileiro

    We said: Bahia 0-1 Athletico Paranaense

     Bahia will use this match as a measuring stick for what they might be up against next season, should they remain in a position to earn a promotion. On the opposite side, expect it to be all business for Furacao, who will be hungry to finish what they could not do last season and lift this trophy for a second time. Read more.

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.47%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

    Result
    BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
    48.89% (-0.598 -0.6) 26.64% (0.215 0.22) 24.47% (0.38 0.38)
    Both teams to score 46.59% (-0.231 -0.23)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    42.69% (-0.486 -0.49)57.31% (0.484 0.48)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    21.86% (-0.388 -0.39)78.14% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
    Bahia Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    76.49% (-0.48 -0.48)23.51% (0.478 0.48)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    42.45% (-0.699 -0.7)57.55% (0.697 0.7)
    Athletico Paranaense Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    60.92% (0.078000000000003 0.08)39.08% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    24.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)75.8% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
    Score Analysis
        Bahia 48.89%
        Athletico Paranaense 24.47%
        Draw 26.63%
    BahiaDrawAthletico Paranaense
    1-0 @ 13.3% (0.06 0.06)
    2-0 @ 9.63% (-0.093 -0.09)
    2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
    3-0 @ 4.65% (-0.112 -0.11)
    3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
    3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
    4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.065 -0.07)
    4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
    Other @ 2.59%
    Total : 48.89%
    		1-1 @ 12.49% (0.08 0.08)
    0-0 @ 9.19% (0.169 0.17)
    2-2 @ 4.25% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
    Other @ 0.7%
    Total : 26.63%
    		0-1 @ 8.63% (0.176 0.18)
    1-2 @ 5.87% (0.051 0.05)
    0-2 @ 4.06% (0.092 0.09)
    1-3 @ 1.84% (0.02 0.02)
    2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
    0-3 @ 1.27% (0.031 0.03)
    Other @ 1.47%
    Total : 24.47%

    How you voted: Bahia vs Athletico PR

    Bahia
    20.0%
    Draw
    20.0%
    Athletico Paranaense
    60.0%
    5
    Head to Head
    Oct 9, 2021 11pm
    Athletico PR
    0-2
    Bahia

    Nikao (77')
    Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
    Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
    Jun 25, 2021 1.30am
    Bahia
    2-1
    Athletico PR
    De Lucca (17'), Rossi (70')
    Anderson (26'), da Cruz (90+1')
    Terans (40')
    Erick (82')
    Richard (13'), Marcinho (87')
    Jan 20, 2021 9pm
    Bahia
    1-0
    Athletico PR
    Andrade (65')
    Ramon (9'), Pablo Ramirez (79')
    Sep 26, 2020 11pm
    Athletico PR
    1-0
    Bahia
    Christian (70')
    Erick (26'), Moreira (53'), Heleno (57'), Alvarado Hoyos (89')

    Saldanha (40')
    Oct 5, 2019 11pm
    Bahia
    1-2
    Athletico PR
    Fernandao (76')
    (0')
    Cirino (56'), Cittadini (64')
    rhs 2.0
    Today's games header
    6pm
    Vikings
    @
    Bears
    6pm
    Lions
    @
    Colts
    6pm
    Patriots
    @
    Dolphins
    6pm
    Buccaneers
    @
    Giants
    6pm
    Chiefs
    @
    Panthers
    6pm
    Titans
    @
    Texans
    6pm
    Cowboys
    @
    Washington
    9.05pm
    Broncos
    @
    Raiders
    9.25pm
    49ers
    @
    Packers
    9.25pm
    Cardinals
    @
    Seahawks
    > View full version> Yesterday's results
    Tables header RHS
    TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
    1Liverpool119112161528
    2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
    3Chelsea126422314922
    4Arsenal126422112922
    5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
    6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
    7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
    8Aston Villa125431919019
    9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
    10Fulham125341717018
    11Brentford125252222017
    12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
    13Bournemouth124351617-115
    14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
    15Everton122551017-711
    16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
    17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
    18Crystal Palace121561017-78
    19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
    20Southampton11119721-144
    > Premier League Full Table


    Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
    Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!