Bahia will use this match as a measuring stick for what they might be up against next season, should they remain in a position to earn a promotion. On the opposite side, expect it to be all business for Furacao, who will be hungry to finish what they could not do last season and lift this trophy for a second time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
48.89% ( -0.6)	26.64% ( 0.22)	24.47% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 46.59% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69% (

-0.49)

57.31% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.86% (

-0.39)

78.14% (

0.39)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.48)

23.51% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

-0.7)

57.55% (

0.7)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.92% (

0.08)

39.08% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.2% (

0.08)

75.8% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Bahia 48.89%

Athletico Paranaense 24.47%

Draw 26.63%

Bahia	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.59% Total : 48.89%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.63%	0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.47%