Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

May 3, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio Olímpico de la UCV

Caracas
1 - 0
Libertad

Akinyoola (51')
Guarirapa (61'), Ortega (66'), Suarez (69'), Rodriguez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Caballero (50'), Samudio (54'), Enciso (66')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Club Libertad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caracas

Last Game: Athletico PR 5-1 Caracas
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Club Libertad

Last Game: Libertad 4-1 The Strongest
Thursday, May 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Next Game: Athletico PR vs. Libertad
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Caracas	Draw	Club Libertad
35.64%	26.32%	38.04%

Both teams to score 53.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4%

51.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.61%

73.39%

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.17%

27.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.58%

63.42%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.56%

26.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.39%

61.6%

Score Analysis

Caracas 35.64%

Club Libertad 38.04%

Draw 26.31%

Caracas	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 8.01% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 3.41% 3-0 @ 2.57% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.64%	1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.04%