MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 17:29:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 3, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Botafogo logo

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Botafogo

Santana (42')
Santana (37'), Henrique (76'), Terans (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kayque (90+5'), Da Silva (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Botafogo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Athletico PR (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Botafogo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 1-0 Athletico PR (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, June 1 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-2 Botafogo

 Despite winning on penalties in the cup in midweek, Athletico PR's defeat in normal time was their fourth successive loss, and we expect the visitors to smell blood this weekend. Castro's side have won seven of their eight league games so far this season, and we can envisage them making that record eight from nine to potentially further increase their lead at the top of Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBotafogo
45.5% (0.335 0.34) 26.87% (0.528 0.53) 27.64% (-0.859 -0.86)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-2.09 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.84% (-2.431 -2.43)56.17% (2.435 2.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78% (-2.009 -2.01)77.22% (2.012 2.01)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.905 -0.91)24.62% (0.909 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (-1.286 -1.29)59.13% (1.29 1.29)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27% (-1.975 -1.97)35.73% (1.98 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5% (-2.089 -2.09)72.5% (2.093 2.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.49%
    Botafogo 27.64%
    Draw 26.86%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.81 0.81)
2-1 @ 8.89% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.352 0.35)
3-1 @ 4.16% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 8.8% (0.794 0.79)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.361 0.36)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.264 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.2 -0.2)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 27.64%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Botafogo

Athletico Paranaense
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Botafogo
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jun 1, 2023 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Botafogo
1-0
Athletico PR
 Athletico PR win 4-2 on penalties
Tiquinho (17')
Cuesta (7'), Hugo (85')

Fernando (45+1'), Henrique (77'), Erick (89')
Nov 13, 2022 7pm
gameweek 38
Athletico PR
3-0
Botafogo
Adryelson (52' og.), Roque (62'), Erick (90+5')
Jul 24, 2022 1am
gameweek 19
Botafogo
2-0
Athletico PR
Erison (19'), Jeffinho (54')
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
gameweek 28
Botafogo
0-2
Athletico PR

Marcelo (69'), Babi (71'), Alexandre (83')
Kayzer (31'), Cittadini (48')
Nikao (44'), Kayzer (45+2')
Sep 9, 2020 9.30pm
gameweek 9
Athletico PR
1-1
Botafogo
Ravanelli (88')
Gonzalez (9')
Luis (80' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!