Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Nov 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Arena da Baixada
Athletico PR3 - 0Botafogo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Botafogo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Athletico PR
Thursday, November 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, November 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
45
Last Game: Botafogo 3-0 Santos
Thursday, November 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Thursday, November 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
41
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Botafogo |
49.29% ( 0.18) | 24.57% ( -0.04) | 26.14% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( 0.07) | 48.02% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( 0.06) | 70.19% ( -0.05) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.48% ( 0.1) | 19.52% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.59% ( 0.16) | 51.42% ( -0.15) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.42% ( -0.07) | 32.58% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.88% ( -0.09) | 69.12% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense 49.29%
Botafogo 26.14%
Draw 24.57%
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Botafogo |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.14% |
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 1am
Sep 9, 2020 9.30pm
Aug 11, 2019 8pm
Botafogo
2-1
Athletico PR
Anderson (16')
Cittadini (49')
Cittadini (49')
Form Guide
