Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Final

Oct 29, 2022 at 9pm UK

Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha

Flamengo
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Barbosa (45+4')
De Arrascaeta (68'), Vidal (75')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Henrique (28'), Santana (43'), Cardoso (73')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Copa Libertadores clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Flamengo 3-2 Santos
Wednesday, October 26 at 1.45am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Palmeiras
Wednesday, October 26 at 1.45am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

We said: Flamengo 2-1 Athletico Paranaense

Although we expect Saturday's final to be a closely-fought contest, we think Flamengo's recent experience of reaching the latter stages of the Copa Libertadores will help beat Athletico PR. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 16.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
61.29% ( -0.02)	22.32% ( 0)	16.4% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 47.28% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73% (

0.02)

50.27% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78% (

0.02)

72.22% (

-0.02)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.07%

15.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.8% (

45.2% (

-0)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.24% (

0.04)

43.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.07% (

0.04)

79.93% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 61.28%

Athletico Paranaense 16.4%

Draw 22.32%

Flamengo	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.31% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2% Total : 61.28%	1-1 @ 10.58% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.32%	0-1 @ 5.76% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 16.4%