Brasileiro | Gameweek 22

Aug 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Flamengo
5 - 0
Athletico PR

Bruno (56', 59'), Lucas (63'), Lazaro (72'), Pedro (90+2')
Pablo (43'), Souza (44'), Maia (49')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bueno (54'), Santana (66')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

Last Six:

Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, August 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Athletico Paranaense	21	6	37
5	Flamengo	21	13	36
6	Internacional	21	7	33

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 73.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.61%) and 3-0 (10.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
73.79% ( -0.21)	17.1% ( 0.23)	9.11% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.2% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.8% (

-1.07)

45.19% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.46% (

-1.03)

67.54% (

1.04)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.29% (

-0.34)

10.7% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.38% (

-0.77)

34.62% (

0.77)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.26% (

-0.72)

52.74% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.52% (

-0.47)

86.48% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 73.77%

Athletico Paranaense 9.11%

Draw 17.1%

Flamengo	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
2-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.07) 6-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.61% Total : 73.77%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.1%	0-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 9.11%