Flamengo are the firm favourites to pick up three points heading into this game, with their performances as of late showcasing real quality. Even though Juventude have managed to secure some draws in recent outings, this one could be a stretch too far, and is something that will certainly test them defensively. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 77.67%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.16%) and 3-0 (11.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Juventude
77.67% ( 1.41)	15.11% ( -0.72)	7.22% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 40.24% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.24% (

0.75)

42.76% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.83% (

0.74)

65.16% (

-0.75)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88% (

0.53)

9.11% (

-0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.06% (

1.25)

30.94% (

-1.25)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.27% (

-1.28)

55.72% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.69% (

-0.76)

88.31% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 77.65%

Juventude 7.22%

Draw 15.11%

Flamengo	Draw	Juventude
2-0 @ 14.56% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 6-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.13% Total : 77.65%	1-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.35) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.42% Total : 15.11%	0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.17% Total : 7.22%