MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:32:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
Avai
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Estádio da Ressacada
Flamengo

Avai
1 - 2
Flamengo

Chaves (48')
Silva (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pedro (55', 84')
Bruno (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Avai and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ceara 1-0 Avai
Wednesday, July 20 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Avai 0-2 Flamengo

Avai face the stern test of taking on a rampant Flamengo side who are currently in red-hot form. The Rubro-Negro have won seven of their last eight games in all competitions and we are backing them to extend their dominance over the hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 47.27%. A win for Avai had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Avai win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
AvaiDrawFlamengo
27.07% (-0.296 -0.3) 25.67% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 47.27% (0.372 0.37)
Both teams to score 51.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11% (0.114 0.11)51.89% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36% (0.099999999999998 0.1)73.64% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Avai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (-0.173 -0.17)33.89% (0.175 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.43% (-0.188 -0.19)70.57% (0.191 0.19)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (0.215 0.22)21.95% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (0.325 0.33)55.24% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Avai 27.07%
    Flamengo 47.27%
    Draw 25.66%
AvaiDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.6% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.25% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.071 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.32% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 47.27%

How you voted: Avai vs Flamengo

Avai
13.0%
Draw
26.1%
Flamengo
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2019 11pm
Flamengo
6-1
Avai
De Arrascaeta (11'), Diego (37'), Barbosa (39'), Lincoln (57'), Reinier (84', 89')
Lourenco (22')
Lourenco (74')
Sep 7, 2019 9pm
Avai
0-3
Flamengo

Paulo (49')
Ferrareis (91')
Barbosa (11'), Mari (32'), Reinier (53')
Mari (61'), Barbosa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo31197549262364
2PalmeirasPalmeiras32187753272661
3FortalezaFortaleza32179644321260
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio32116153841-339
12Vitoria32115163746-938
13Corinthians32911123740-338
14Fluminense32107152834-637
15CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
16BragantinoBragantino32811133440-635
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3197153339-634
18JuventudeJuventude32810143851-1334
19Cuiaba32610162541-1628
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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