Cuiaba's drought cannot continue for ever, and their hosts have one of the division's worst defensive records this season, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards at Ressacada. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
Avai	Draw	Cuiaba
51.38% ( -0.09)	27.2% ( 0.05)	21.42% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 42.02% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.43% (

-0.11)

61.56% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.58% (

-0.08)

81.41% (

0.08)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

-0.09)

24.23% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.42% (

-0.13)

58.58% (

0.13)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.46% (

-0.02)

44.53% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.44% (

-0.01)

80.56% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Avai 51.37%

Cuiaba 21.42%

Draw 27.19%

Avai	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 15.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 51.37%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.19%	0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.35% 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.42%