Brasileiro | Gameweek 16

Jul 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Diogao

Bragantino
4 - 0
Avai

Candido (70'), Alerrandro (76'), Helinho (87'), Praxedes (90')
Ortiz (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Raniele (43'), Vaz (65'), Cortez (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Avai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

Last Six:

Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Botafogo
Tuesday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Santos	15	4	19
11	Bragantino	15	0	18
12	Ceara	15	0	18

With only four goals from their first seven away games of the campaign, Avai are unlikely to pose a sustained threat to the Bragantino goal. As the hosts should also dictate the play from midfield - bossing the ball and controlling the tempo - only one moment of magic may be needed to secure maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 62.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Avai had a probability of 14.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.22%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an Avai win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Avai
62.39% ( 0.12)	23.06% ( 0.13)	14.55% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 41.37% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.94% (

-0.85)

56.06% (

0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.86% (

-0.69)

77.14% (

0.69)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.41% (

-0.26)

17.59% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.84% (

-0.46)

48.16% (

0.46)

Avai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.2% (

-0.87)

49.8% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.48% (

-0.61)

84.52% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Bragantino 62.38%

Avai 14.55%

Draw 23.05%

Bragantino	Draw	Avai
1-0 @ 15.22% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 62.38%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.47% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 14.55%