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Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2022 at 1am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange
Athletico Paranaense

Botafogo
2 - 0
Athletico PR

Erison (19'), Jeffinho (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Heleno (47'), Terans (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Santos 2-0 Botafogo
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Botafogo 1-3 Athletico Paranaense

The visitors will have renewed confidence following their return to winning ways, and they meet Botafogo at a good time with Castro's side struggling for form. We envisage an away victory on Sunday, with the Rubro-Negro having enough to outclass their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
BotafogoDrawAthletico Paranaense
42.02% (-0.327 -0.33) 28.19% (-0.113 -0.11) 29.78% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 45.89% (0.505 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.01% (0.535 0.54)59.99% (-0.536 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.77% (0.404 0.4)80.23% (-0.40599999999999 -0.41)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.078999999999994 0.08)28.18% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13% (0.099000000000004 0.1)63.86% (-0.1 -0.1)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.632 0.63)36.1% (-0.633 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.638 0.64)72.88% (-0.63900000000001 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 42.02%
    Athletico Paranaense 29.78%
    Draw 28.18%
BotafogoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.88% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.51% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 42.02%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.17% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 10.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.109 0.11)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.27% (0.075 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Botafogo
0-2
Athletico PR

Marcelo (69'), Babi (71'), Alexandre (83')
Kayzer (31'), Cittadini (48')
Nikao (44'), Kayzer (45+2')
Sep 9, 2020 9.30pm
Nov 17, 2019 9pm
Athletico PR
1-0
Botafogo
Anderson (59')
Anderson (39'), Heleno (47'), Bambu (65'), Azevedo (85')

Carli (22')
Aug 11, 2019 8pm
Botafogo
2-1
Athletico PR
Morais (31'), Souza (77' pen.)
Paulo (40'), Pimpao (49'), Santos (67')
Anderson (16')
Cittadini (49')
Oct 28, 2018 1am
Athletico PR
2-1
Botafogo
Bergson (56'), Pablo (84')
Guilherme (40'), Bergson (44')
Brenner (30' pen.)
Saulo (50'), Conceicao (64'), Carli (64'), Fernandes (72'), Fernando (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras35217757282970
2Botafogo352010553272670
3FortalezaFortaleza341810649341564
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional341711647281962
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Atletico Mineiro351014114449-544
11Vasco da GamaVasco34127153650-1443
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude35912144355-1239
16Fluminense34108163038-838
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


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