Brasileiro | Gameweek 20

Jul 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Bueno (69' pen.)
Fernandinho (80'), Cittadini (84'), Heleno (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luizao (42'), Alves (51'), Nikao (68'), Luciano (85')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 America Mineiro
Friday, July 29 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Santos	19	6	26
10	Sao Paulo	19	4	26
11	Ceara	19	1	24

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Sao Paulo
47% ( -0)	26.65% ( -0.03)	26.35% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.9% (

0.13)

56.1% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.83% (

0.11)

77.17% (

-0.11)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13% (

0.06)

23.87% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94% (

0.08)

58.06% (

-0.08)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.24% (

0.1)

36.76% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.45% (

0.1)

73.55% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 47%

Sao Paulo 26.35%

Draw 26.64%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 47%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 26.35%