MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 17:14:58| >> :60:412:412:
Sao Paulo
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 29, 2022 at 12am UK
Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
America Mineiro

Sao Paulo
1 - 0
America Mineiro

Luciano (35')
Gomes (43'), Neves (55'), Couto (65'), Galoppo (81'), Costa (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Almeida (37'), Pedrinho (90+7')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Sao Paulo and America Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-3 Goias
Saturday, July 23 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 0-1 America Mineiro
Sunday, July 24 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sao Paulo in this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawAmerica Mineiro
64.68% (0.381 0.38) 21.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 13.71% (-0.404 -0.4)
Both teams to score 43.28% (-1.041 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (-0.851 -0.85)52.29% (0.845 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (-0.739 -0.74)73.98% (0.73299999999999 0.73)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (-0.163 -0.16)15.5% (0.157 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (-0.3 -0.3)44.39% (0.295 0.3)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.21% (-1.135 -1.14)48.79% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.2% (-0.828 -0.83)83.8% (0.82299999999999 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 64.67%
    America Mineiro 13.71%
    Draw 21.6%
Sao PauloDrawAmerica Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.09% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 13.14% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.14 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.86% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.81% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 64.67%
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.56% (0.251 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 21.6%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.63% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 13.71%

Head to Head
Jun 12, 2022 8pm
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
America Mineiro
2-0
Sao Paulo
Ademir (58', 62')
Ricardo (28'), Silva (45+5')

Diego (45+4'), Falcao (79')
Sep 23, 2021 12.30am
Sep 22, 2018 8pm
May 27, 2018 11pm
America Mineiro
1-3
Sao Paulo
Moura (12')
Silva (30'), Ferraz (45'), Giovanni (72'), Ademir (83')
Souza (8'), Nene (45' pen., 61')
Hudson (88'), Alves (89'), Militao (93')
rhs 2.0
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