Brasileiro | Gameweek 17
Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Morumbi
Sao Paulo2 - 2Fluminense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Friday, July 15 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, July 15 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Flamengo | 17 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 16 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Santos | 17 | 4 | 22 |
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, July 13 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
Wednesday, July 13 at 1am in Copa do Brasil
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Athletico Paranaense | 17 | 3 | 28 |
| 6 | Fluminense | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 7 | Flamengo | 17 | 3 | 24 |
We said: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fluminense
With both of the league's top marksmen on show, goals are almost guaranteed in this clash between two of Brazil's grandest clubs. In fact, an entertaining affair could ensue if in-form Flu strike early - forcing their hosts to chase the game and leave gaps in behind - and the visitors are best equipped to edge it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Fluminense |
48.96% ( 0.35) | 27.92% ( 0) | 23.12% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 42.04% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
