Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Aug 19, 2022 at 1am UK

Estádio Raimundo Sampaio

America Mineiro
2 - 2
Sao Paulo

Paulista (44' pen.), Everaldo (65')
Everaldo (2'), Pablo Ramirez (14'), Egea (45+6'), Matheusinho (81'), Eder (81'), Avelar (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Luciano (23', 29')
Luciano (24'), Miranda (45+4'), Calleri (83')
Miranda (58')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between America Mineiro and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-0 Bragantino
Sunday, August 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	America Mineiro	22	-5	30
11	Sao Paulo	22	4	29
12	Goias	22	-6	26

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
37.38% ( 0.65)	26.98% ( 0.09)	35.64% ( -0.74)

Both teams to score 50.97% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.71% (

-0.4)

54.29% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.32% (

-0.33)

75.68% (

0.34)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.92% (

0.19)

28.08% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.25% (

0.24)

63.74% (

-0.24)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.64)

29.13% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

-0.8)

65.06% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 37.38%

Sao Paulo 35.63%

Draw 26.97%

America Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.38%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.97%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.63%