Brasileiro | Gameweek 19

Jul 23, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
3 - 3
Goias

Calleri (29'), Nestor (33'), Patrick (48')
Luizao (31'), Costa (89')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Belmonte (8'), Cardoso (39'), Raul (90+2')
Raul (36'), Sales (45+6'), Belmonte (45+6'), Dias (87'), Bastos (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Goias, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Internacional 3-3 Sao Paulo
Thursday, July 21 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Santos	18	6	25
10	Sao Paulo	18	4	25
11	Ceara	18	2	24

We said: Sao Paulo 2-1 Goias

Sao Paulo's issue has been turning draws into wins this season, but they should have enough firepower to get past Goias on home turf on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Goias had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Goias win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Goias
64.51% ( -0.89)	21.97% ( 0.3)	13.52% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 41.85% (

0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.02% (

0.05)

53.97% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.58% (

0.04)

75.42% (

-0.04)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.88% (

-0.28)

16.12% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.45% (

-0.51)

45.55% (

0.51)

Goias Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.89% (

0.99)

50.11% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.27% (

0.68)

84.73% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 64.51%

Goias 13.52%

Draw 21.96%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Goias
1-0 @ 14.74% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 64.51%	1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.49% Total : 13.52%